Survey respondents in China expect trade credit risk to increase over the coming months. Find out more about their business challenges going forward.
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The economy is highly integrated into international value chains, making it vulnerable to major foreign trade losses, especially in the automotive sector.
The forint remains vulnerable to international investors’ sentiment due to the elevated external and public debt levels and institutional issues.
As the economy is reliant on automotive-related exports to the Eurozone, especially to Germany, it is vulnerable to adverse developments in the industry.
The currency is subject to some volatility, and the country is vulnerable to capital outflows should there be adverse internal or external developments.
Political instability remains an issue for the long-term economic growth prospects, while corruption and red tape still hamper the business environment.
Despite a modest economic rebound the business performance and credit risk situation of several industries remains strained, especially in Dubai.
Beside deterioration of payment behaviour in the private sector, the number of payment delays in larger projects dependent on government funding is still high.
In 2019 and 2020 growth is expected to exceed 5%, supported by exchange rate liberalization, interest rate normalisation and increasing tourist arrivals.
The economy is currently forecast to expand by about 3.5% in 2020, however, this depends on decent performance in agriculture, tourism, and exports.
Slow reform progress and social tensions weigh on the medium-term outlook, while economic expansion remains heavily dependent on the security situation.