发表刊物

China: Increase in trade credit risk on the horizon?

付款习惯

  • 中国
  • 自动化/交通,
  • 耐用消费品,

2019年05月20日

Survey respondents in China expect trade credit risk to increase over the coming months. Find out more about their business challenges going forward.

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融资风险管理,出口贸易研究,以及安卓季度贸易风险指南地图。

业界简报

世界范围内主要行业和市场的企业经营状况及信用风险情况简表。

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    Global Economic Outlook - November 2019

    经济概览

    • 阿尔及利亚,
    • 安哥拉,
    • 一般经济

    2019年11月19日

    The global economy is losing steam in 2019 and 2020. As the trade war accelerates this, consumer resilience will help avoid recession.

    Peronists back in power, herculean task ahead

    经济注解

    • 阿根廷
    • 一般经济

    2019年11月05日

    Regaining investors’ trust will be key to Fernández’s success in reinvigorating the Argentinian economy, but it is not the only thing.

    Cyprus country update October 2019

    经济注解

    • 塞浦路斯
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月22日

    Cyprus's economy is on solid ground but crisis legacies persist.

    Ireland: default risk soars on vague economic outlook

    付款习惯

    • 爱尔兰
    • 农业,
    • 自动化/交通,

    2019年10月22日

    Ireland’s highly open economy is cooling off and demand in export markets is set to remain weak while the domestic economy faces increasing capacity constraints and lower government spending.

    Spain: sign of recovery from high level of insolvencies

    付款习惯

    • 西班牙
    • 自动化/交通,
    • 化学/制药,

    2019年10月22日

    Economic growth in Spain is expected to be strong this year (2.3%), although slightly lower than last year.

    Switzerland: number of insolvencies grow

    付款习惯

    • 瑞士
    • 农业,
    • 耐用消费品,

    2019年10月22日

    In 2019, another 4% increase is expected in Swiss insolvencies.

    Sweden: navigating through challenging economic times

    付款习惯

    • 瑞典
    • 农业,
    • 自动化/交通,

    2019年10月22日

    Another 3% increase in insolvencies, following those recorded in the past couple of years, is expected this year in Sweden.

    Austria: insolvencies expected to increase

    付款习惯

    • 奥地利
    • 农业,
    • 电子/计算机技术,

    2019年10月22日

    This year, Austria’s economic expansion is expected to decelerate to around 1.5%, due to weaker exports, decreasing investment and lower industrial production growth.

    Denmark: businesses safeguard cashflow

    付款习惯

    • 丹麦
    • 农业,
    • 自动化/交通,

    2019年10月22日

    Economic growth in Denmark is forecast to increase to 2% this year.

    Belgium: trade credit risk outlook increasingly fragile

    付款习惯

    • 比利时
    • 农业,
    • 自动化/交通,

    2019年10月22日

    Economic growth in Belgium is expected to slowdown to 1.2% this year and in 2020.

    Greece: do businesses manage receivables strategically?

    付款习惯

    • 希腊
    • 农业,
    • 化学/制药,

    2019年10月22日

    Economic growth in Greece is projected to reach approximately the level of 2% in 2019 and 2020.

    France: businesses pessimistic about late payments

    付款习惯

    • 法国
    • 农业,
    • 化学/制药,

    2019年10月22日

    In France, the number of insolvencies is forecast to increase 3% this year due to decelerating economic activity.

    UK: insolvencies increase as risk climate deteriorates

    付款习惯

    • 英国
    • 农业,
    • 自动化/交通,

    2019年10月22日

    The UK is facing the highest increase in insolvencies in 2019 and 2020 in Western Europe.

    Italy: insolvencies again on the rise after some years

    付款习惯

    • 意大利
    • 农业,
    • 自动化/交通,

    2019年10月22日

    In Italy, business insolvencies are expected to increase in 2019, by about 4%. This is due to economic stagnation, increased political uncertainty and tighter credit conditions.

    Germany: increase in late payments worries businesses

    付款习惯

    • 德国
    • 自动化/交通,
    • 耐用消费品,

    2019年10月22日

    Economic growth in Germany is expected to cool to 0.6% in 2019 down from 1.6% one year ago.

    Netherlands: how businesses react to payment defaults?

    付款习惯

    • 荷兰
    • 农业,
    • 自动化/交通,

    2019年10月22日

    GDP growth in the Netherlands is expected to slow to 1.7% in 2019. After several years of sharp decreases in insolvencies, this year is likely to mark a turning point.

    Western Europe: businesses' financial stability at risk

    付款习惯

    • 奥地利,
    • 比利时,
    • 自动化/交通,
    • 建筑,

    2019年10月22日

    As economic growth decelerates, and the manufacturing sector struggles amid lower global trade, Western Europe expects to close the year with a 2.7% increase in insolvencies.

    Country Report Russia 2019

    国家报告

    • 俄罗斯
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月15日

    Insolvencies are rising, and structural weaknesses and the negative impact of sanctions on productivity and investment weigh on the economic expansion.

    Country Report Turkey 2019

    国家报告

    • 土耳其
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月15日

    Due to the recent economic downturn the credit risk situation of some major industries has deteriorated, and insolvencies are expected to increase.

    Country Report Poland 2019

    国家报告

    • 波兰
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月15日

    Worries over the impact of adverse external factors like US import tariffs and the Brexit decision on Polish export and investment growth remain.

    Country Report Greece 2019

    国家报告

    • 希腊
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月15日

    In 2020 household consumption is expected to accelerate, sustained by further decreasing unemployment, low inflation, and a minimum wage increase.

    Country Report Czech Republic 2019

    国家报告

    • 捷克
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月15日

    The economy is highly integrated into international value chains, making it vulnerable to major foreign trade losses, especially in the automotive sector.

    Country Report Hungary 2019

    国家报告

    • 匈牙利
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月15日

    The forint remains vulnerable to international investors’ sentiment due to the elevated external and public debt levels and institutional issues.

    Country Report Slovakia 2019

    国家报告

    • 斯洛伐克
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月15日

    As the economy is reliant on automotive-related exports to the Eurozone, especially to Germany, it is vulnerable to adverse developments in the industry.

    Country Report Romania 2019

    国家报告

    • 罗马尼亚
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月15日

    The currency is subject to some volatility, and the country is vulnerable to capital outflows should there be adverse internal or external developments.

    Country Report Bulgaria 2019

    国家报告

    • 保加利亚
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月15日

    Political instability remains an issue for the long-term economic growth prospects, while corruption and red tape still hamper the business environment.

    MENA Country Report UAE 2019

    国家报告

    • 阿拉伯联合酋长国
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月01日

    Despite a modest economic rebound the business performance and credit risk situation of several industries remains strained, especially in Dubai.

    MENA Country Report Saudi Arabia 2019

    国家报告

    • 沙特阿拉伯
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月01日

    Beside deterioration of payment behaviour in the private sector, the number of payment delays in larger projects dependent on government funding is still high.

    MENA Country Report Egypt 2019

    国家报告

    • 埃及
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月01日

    In 2019 and 2020 growth is expected to exceed 5%, supported by exchange rate liberalization, interest rate normalisation and increasing tourist arrivals.

    MENA Country Report Morocco 2019

    国家报告

    • 摩洛哥
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月01日

    The economy is currently forecast to expand by about 3.5% in 2020, however, this depends on decent performance in agriculture, tourism, and exports.

    MENA Country Report Tunisia 2019

    国家报告

    • 突尼斯
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月01日

    Slow reform progress and social tensions weigh on the medium-term outlook, while economic expansion remains heavily dependent on the security situation.

    MENA Country Report Algeria 2019

    国家报告

    • 阿尔及利亚
    • 一般经济

    2019年10月01日

    GDP growth is expected to recover only modestly as the oil fund is nearly depleted, and ongoing political uncertainty weighs on the economic performance.

    Eastern Europe credit risk rises as GDP growth eases

    付款习惯

    • 保加利亚,
    • 捷克,
    • 自动化/交通,
    • 化学/制药,

    2019年09月18日

    Economic growth in Eastern Europe is projected to remain solid this year, despite losing steam mainly because of poor growth prospects for Turkey.

    Romania: expected upsurge in corporate insolvencies

    付款习惯

    • 罗马尼亚
    • 自动化/交通,
    • 化学/制药,

    2019年09月18日

    Economic growth in Romania is expected to slow down to around 3-3.1% this year, and to sink below 3% in 2020

    Slovakia: strong private consumption and export growth

    付款习惯

    • 斯洛伐克
    • 自动化/交通,
    • 化学/制药,

    2019年09月18日

    Real GDP growth in Slovakia is forecast to remain strong – 3.3% – this year and to slow slightly down to 3.2% in 2020

    Czech Republic: a resilient or vulnerable economy?

    付款习惯

    • 捷克
    • 自动化/交通,
    • 化学/制药,

    2019年09月18日

    Economic expansion in the Czech Republic is forecast to remain positive over the coming months, with an average growth rate of about 3% this year.

    Poland: higher insolvency levels ahead

    付款习惯

    • 波兰
    • 自动化/交通,
    • 化学/制药,

    2019年09月18日

    Real GDP growth in Poland is forecast to reach 4.4% this year, slowing down to 3.6% in 2020.

    Turkey: uncertain economic outlook

    付款习惯

    • 土耳其
    • 自动化/交通,
    • 化学/制药,

    2019年09月18日

    Financial conditions in Turkey will be tighter in the coming months.

    Bulgaria: reliance on cash payment risks limiting trade

    付款习惯

    • 保加利亚
    • 自动化/交通,
    • 化学/制药,

    2019年09月18日

    Economic expansion in Bulgaria is expected to lose some momentum in 2019, but should remain strong at above 3%, spurred by robust household spending, strong wage growth and an improving labour market

    Hungary: trade protection to ensure long-term business

    付款习惯

    • 匈牙利
    • 自动化/交通,
    • 化学/制药,

    2019年09月18日

    Economic growth in Hungary gained momentum recently, with real GDP gains expected to reach 4.4% this year.

    Iran's economy muddling through scorched earth

    经济注解

    • 伊朗
    • 一般经济

    2019年09月16日

    Iran continues to demonstrate economic resilience but prospects for integration into the world economy remain far off.

    Argentina struggling to stabilise currency

    经济注解

    • 阿根廷
    • 一般经济

    2019年09月12日

    Argentina has introduced currency controls to stabilise peso in the run-up to elections.

    Market Monitor Automotive United Kingdom 2019

    市场监测

    • 英国
    • 自动化/交通

    2019年09月10日

    The amount of suppliers facing insolvency will increase further in the coming 2-3 years, as many will find it hard to adapt to changing market conditions.

    Market Monitor Automotive Germany 2019

    市场监测

    • 德国
    • 自动化/交通

    2019年09月10日

    Many German Tier 2 suppliers face the issue that their products are easily substitutable, while their solvency and equity position is generally weak.

    Market Monitor Automotive USA 2019

    市场监测

    • 美国
    • 自动化/交通

    2019年09月10日

    Any imposition of import tariffs on cars/car parts would severely impact suppliers in the Tier 2 segment where many businesses already show thin margins.

    Market Monitor Automotive China 2019

    市场监测

    • 中国
    • 自动化/交通

    2019年09月10日

    Small basic component parts producers often suffer from poor equity, while at the same time they face increasing difficulties obtaining bank finance.

    Market Monitor Automotive France 2019

    市场监测

    • 法国
    • 自动化/交通

    2019年09月10日

    While the automotive insolvency level has been low compared to other industries in the past, an increase of up to 3% is expected in the coming 12 months.

    Market Monitor Automotive Italy 2019

    市场监测

    • 意大利
    • 自动化/交通

    2019年09月10日

    Suppliers active in the combustion engine parts and car metals segments are severely affected by deteriorating demand and a high level of competition.

    Market Monitor Automotive Japan 2019

    市场监测

    • 日本
    • 自动化/交通

    2019年09月10日

    US tariffs could severely impact Japanese suppliers of low value added/basic car parts, as OEMs could replace their products with tariff-free items.

    Market Monitor Automotive Mexico 2019

    市场监测

    • 墨西哥
    • 自动化/交通

    2019年09月10日

    Local-owned Tier 2 suppliers remain susceptible to commodity price changes and exchange rate volatility, with limited options to pass on higher prices.

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