Market Monitor Machines Poland 2017

市场监测

  • 波兰
  • 机械/工程

2017年10月31日

Due to deteriorated results and margins, as well as increased payment delays and insolvencies our underwriting stance remains restrictive for the sector.

  • Polish GDP growth is expected to increase above 3% in 2017 and 2018, driven by robust consumer demand, rising business investment and increased investments linked to EU funding. This investment surge should help the Polish machinery sector, after some of the main subsectors suffered severely over the last two years.
  • The mining machines segment has been affected by the downturn in the Polish coal mining industry since 2012, leading to a sharp decrease in investments (down 45% in 2015). Additionaly, mining related companies increased average payment terms and often paid late. As a consequence, many mining machinery businesses have shown deteriorated financial results and strained liquidity, leading to more insolvencies in 2015 and 2016. However, a recent increase in coal prices has led to better payment behaviour by mining businesses, while at least larger mining machines producers were able to increase their exports, compensating for declining domestic sales.
  • EU subsidies helped to increase demand for agricultural machines until 2015. However, due to political issues affecting the payout of EU subsidies to farmers since the end of 2015, many agricultural businesses postponed purchases of agricultural machines (tractors, trailers), leading to a sharp decrease in machines sales. This triggered growing inventories and an increasing number of non-payment notifications in this segment. Should this sluggish demand continue, some agricultural machines distributors may face serious troubles.
  • Due to deteriorated results and margins, as well as increased payment delays and insolvencies our underwriting stance remains restrictive for the machinery sector, especially the mining and agriculture-related segments.We also pay special attention to export-driven businesses dependent on sales to Russia, as demand there remains weak and Russian authorities tend to prefer Russian-made goods in public tenders. It still remains to be seen if Polish machinery will benefit from the projected domestic GDP growth and investment increase in the coming years.

 

 

相关资料

免责声明

Each publication available on or from our websites, such as, but not limited to webpages, reports, articles, publications, tips and helpful content, trading briefs, infographics, videos (each a “Publication”) is provided for information purposes only and is not intended as a recommendation or advice as to particular transactions, investments or strategies in any way to any reader. Readers must make their own independent decisions, commercial or otherwise, regarding the information provided. While we have made every attempt to ensure that the information contained in any Publication has been obtained from reliable sources, Atradius is not responsible for any errors or omissions, or for the results obtained from the use of this information. All information in any Publication is provided ’as is’, with no guarantee of completeness, accuracy, timeliness or of the results obtained from its use, and without warranty of any kind, express or implied. In no event will Atradius, its related partnerships or corporations, or the partners, agents or employees thereof, be liable to you or anyone else for any decision made or action taken in reliance on the information in any Publication, or for any loss of opportunity, loss of profit, loss of production, loss of business or indirect losses, special or similar damages of any kind, even if advised of the possibility of such losses or damages.