Publications

China: late payment still the norm

Payment Practices Barometer

  • China
  • Chemicals/Pharma,
  • Construction,

23rd May 2018

Payment delays have remained largely stable and payment duration improved. Bankruptcy and failed collection attempts remain top reasons for write-offs.

Practical Trading information

Advice on trading opportunities including the documents: Export Practice, Credit-to-Cash Briefings and the Atradius Risk Map.

Industry Performance Forecast

An at-a-glance summary graphic of the business performance and credit risk situation of key industries in major markets.

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    Market Monitor food United Kingdom 2018

    Market Monitor

    • United Kingdom
    • Food

    19th December 2018

    Some larger players continue to push the supply chain on price and longer payment terms, adding cash flow challenges to mainly smaller food businesses.

    Market Monitor food France 2018

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Food

    19th December 2018

    Many food producers and processors struggle to pass on higher input prices, which is hampered by the high concentration and market power of retailers.

    Market Monitor food Denmark 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Denmark
    • Food

    19th December 2018

    As the UK is a major Danish export market, a hard Brexit could trigger a significant decrease in Danish export of food and agricultural products.

    Market Monitor food Ireland 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Ireland
    • Food

    19th December 2018

    Despite efforts of food exporters to diversify shipments away from Britain, a hard Brexit remains a major challenge, also for shipments to mainland Europe.

    Market Monitor food Netherlands 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Netherlands
    • Food

    19th December 2018

    Growth is set to continue, but the strong export orientation makes many food businesses susceptible to trade disputes and price/currency fluctuations.

    Market Monitor food Germany 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Germany
    • Food

    19th December 2018

    Many meat processors and producers suffer from higher procurement prices, while their ability to pass on those increases to retailers is limited.

    Market Monitor food Italy 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Food

    19th December 2018

    Even the biggest food retailers are small compared to other major international players, and e-commerce is increasingly challenging traditional businesses.

    Market Monitor food Mexico 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Mexico
    • Food

    19th December 2018

    The new Mexican government could launch policies in order to increase domestic production and put emphasis on domestic agricultural support programmes.

    Market Monitor food Australia 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Australia
    • Food

    19th December 2018

    Higher input costs have increased the pressure on margins in recent years, with a recent draught in Australia having and additional negative impact.

    Market Monitor food Poland 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Poland
    • Food

    19th December 2018

    The number of protracted payments in the sector is rather high as larger businesses use their leverage against suppliers by demanding long payment terms.

    No-deal Brexit risks driving up insolvencies

    Economic Note

    • United Kingdom
    • General economic

    10th December 2018

    The UK leaving the EU without a deal would be a major disruption, causing business insolvencies to be higher in the UK and EU27.

    Goodbye NAFTA, hello USMCA

    Economic Note

    • Canada,
    • Mexico,
    • General economic

    3rd December 2018

    The USMCA has finally been signed on November 30, easing short-term uncertainty surrounding North American trade.

    Market Monitor Steel Metals Czech Republic 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Czech Republic
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    27th November 2018

    The main potential downside risk for the industry is a deterioration in orders from main buyer industries, especially from the automotive sector.

    Market Monitor Steel Metals Poland 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Poland
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    27th November 2018

    Both payment delays and insolvencies could increase in 2019, especially if price and margin pressures rise and activity in the construction sector slows.

    Market Monitor Steel Metals Spain 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Spain
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    27th November 2018

    Competitiveness of the steel and metals industry remains negatively impacted by power costs, which are about 30%-50% higher than in France or Germany.

    Market Monitor Steel Metals Netherlands 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Netherlands
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    27th November 2018

    Despite ongoing price pressure the general outlook for the Dutch steel/metals sector is positive, and the impact of the US import tariffs is very limited.

    Market Monitor Steel Metals France 2018

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    27th November 2018

    Payment delays or rescheduling schemes are currently on an upward trend, as producers are facing cash pressure due to heavier working capital requirements.

    Market Monitor Steel Metals Italy 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    27th November 2018

    Higher margin pressure as demand from the automotive sector is expected to decrease in the coming months, while demand from construction remains sluggish.

    Market Monitor Steel Metals China 2018

    Market Monitor

    • China
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    27th November 2018

    The number and amount of protracted payments and insolvencies remains high, and many private-owned steel and metals producers face serious troubles.

    Market Monitor Steel Metals Canada 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Canada
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    27th November 2018

    Payment delays and insolvencies will probably increase until the new USMCA trade agreement is ratified and the US import tariff issue is resolved.

    Market Monitor Steel Metals Germany 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Germany
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    27th November 2018

    Despite the comprehensive safeguarding measures imposed by the EU, the risk of declining steel prices as a result of additional steel inflow remains.

    Market Monitor Steel Metals UK 2018

    Market Monitor

    • United Kingdom
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    27th November 2018

    EU safeguarding measures against steel imports could become an issue if the EU and the UK fail to reach an agreement on the post Brexit trade relationship.

    Market Monitor Steel Metals USA 2018

    Market Monitor

    • USA
    • Metals,
    • Steel

    27th November 2018

    Mid-level producers, smaller steel and metals service centres have started to feel cash flow and profit margin pressure after the imposition of tariffs.

    Southeast Asia - coping well with headwinds

    Economic Note

    • Indonesia,
    • Malaysia,
    • General economic

    15th November 2018

    Southeast Asia is facing headwinds in the face of the US-China trade war and increased global market volatility, but strong domestic policymaking and economic fundamentals should mitigate risks.

    Market Monitor Machines China 2018

    Market Monitor

    • China
    • Machines/Engineering

    13th November 2018

    Despite ongoing growth, there are challenges ahead, as profit margins of businesses decreased in 2017 and H1 of 2018 due to sharply increased input costs.

    Market Monitor Machines France 2018

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Machines/Engineering

    13th November 2018

    Many producers are under pressure to either expand/grow or refuse orders, while difficulties in hiring skilled staff impacts further business expansion.

    Market Monitor Machines Italy 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Machines/Engineering

    13th November 2018

    As in previous years, competition remains strong in the domestic market, mainly among small and medium-sized machinery companies depending on construction.

    Market Monitor Machines United Kingdom 2018

    Market Monitor

    • United Kingdom
    • Machines/Engineering

    13th November 2018

    A modest insolvency increase is expected in 2019, with businesses related to oil and gas exploration, construction and agricultural markets mainly exposed.

    Market Monitor Machines Belgium 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Belgium
    • Machines/Engineering

    13th November 2018

    The demand situation for Belgian machinery businesses is generally positive, but remains affected by difficulties in some major buyer industries.

    Market Monitor Machines Denmark 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Denmark
    • Machines/Engineering

    13th November 2018

    There is pressure on the profits of turbine manufacturers and their suppliers along the value chain, and further consolidation seems to be likely.

    Market Monitor Machines Germany 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Germany
    • Machines/Engineering

    13th November 2018

    Due to its high export ratio the industry is highly susceptible to rising geopolitical risks, exchange rate volatility, and rising protectionism.

    Market Monitor Machines Singapore 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Singapore
    • Machines/Engineering

    13th November 2018

    Business performance and profit margins of machinery traders could be negatively affected by the ongoing trade dispute between China and the United States.

    Market Monitor Machines Spain 2018

    Market Monitor

    • Spain
    • Machines/Engineering

    13th November 2018

    Due to its high export ratio the industry is highly susceptible to external risks like a deterioration in the Eurozone and rising protectionism.

    Market Monitor Machines USA 2018

    Market Monitor

    • USA
    • Machines/Engineering

    13th November 2018

    Some caution is still advised on businesses dependent on the oil/gas and the mining industry, due to potential impacts of energy price volatility.

    Global Economic Outlook - November 2018

    Economic Outlook

    • Algeria,
    • Angola,
    • General economic

    8th November 2018

    The bright outlook presented in May has proven true but clouds are quickly gathering on the horizon. In an increasingly uncertain environment, there is no room for policy mistakes.

    Narrow window of opportunity for Brazil

    Economic Note

    • Brazil
    • General economic

    30th October 2018

    The election of Brazil's new president ends a long period of political uncertainty, but the window for much-needed reform is very narrow.

    Western Europe: an increase in past due B2B invoices

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Austria,
    • Belgium,
    • Construction,
    • Consumer Durables,

    29th October 2018

    After a minor increase from 2016 to 2017, the proportion of past due B2B receivables in Western Europe increased again this year and stands at 41.8%.

    Austria: 100% of respondents reported domestic delays

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Austria
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    29th October 2018

    All survey respondents in Austria (100%) reported domestic payment delays. This is the highest percentage in the region, significantly higher than in 2017.

    Belgium: another increase in overdue B2B invoices

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Belgium
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    29th October 2018

    The average proportion of overdue B2B invoices reported by respondents in Belgium increased for the third consecutive year in a row and stands at 45.6%.

    Denmark: maintaining their credit-friendly stance

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Denmark
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    29th October 2018

    The survey’s biggest negative change in the proportion of uncollectable receivables was recorded in Denmark; up from 1.3% in 2017 to 1.8% in 2018.

    France: an increase in payment duration

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • France
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    29th October 2018

    After an increase from 43.5% in 2017 to 47.5% this year, France has the second highest percentage of overdue B2B invoices in the Western European region.

    Germany: late payments leading to revenue loss

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Germany
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    29th October 2018

    Of the Western European countries surveyed, Germany had the second highest percentage of respondents (24.7%) who reported revenue loss due to overdues.

    UK: the highest proportion of overdues in the region

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • United Kingdom
    • Agriculture,
    • Construction,

    29th October 2018

    At 48.7%, Great Britain had the highest proportion of past due B2B invoices in Western Europe, significantly higher than the regional average of 41.8%.

    Greece: heavily impacted by past due B2B invoices

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Greece
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    29th October 2018

    Despite already posting the highest proportion of uncollectable receivables in the region, Greece’s average rose to 2.8% in 2018 from 2.5% in 2017.

    Ireland: 56.3% of suppliers felt the impact of overdues

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Ireland
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    29th October 2018

    For 56.3% of Irish respondents reported negative consequences of overdues over the past 12 months. For 15.1% of suppliers these led to revenue loss.

    Italy: still the highest DSO in Western Europe

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Italy
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    29th October 2018

    Despite a significant decrease in 2018, at 74 days, the average DSO reported by survey respondents in Italy remains the highest in Western Europe.

    Spain: feeling the impact of overdue B2B invoices

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Spain
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    29th October 2018

    Most respondents in Spain have felt the impact of overdue invoices; 22.4% had to postpone payments to their own suppliers and 20.3% reported revenue loss.

    Sweden: the biggest increase of overdues in the region

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Sweden
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    29th October 2018

    The proportion of past due B2B invoices in Sweden has sharply increased from 26.7% in 2017 to 34.0%. Foreign B2B customers had a much higher default rate.

    Switzerland: feeling the impact of overdue invoices

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Switzerland
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    29th October 2018

    92.5% of Swiss respondents said that they experienced late payment in 2018. This is one of the highest percentages next to that of Austria and Belgium.

    The Netherlands: the biggest DSO increase in the region

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Netherlands
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    29th October 2018

    In 2018, the average DSO recorded in the Netherlands is 46 days, an increase of five days compared to 2017. This is the biggest increase in Western Europe.

    Disclaimer

    The statements made herein are provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be relied upon for any purpose. Please refer to the actual policy or the relevant product or services agreement for the governing terms. Nothing herein should be construed to create any right, obligation or responsibility on the part of Atradius, including any obligation to conduct due diligence of buyers or on your behalf. If Atradius does conduct due diligence on any buyer it is for its own underwriting purposes and not for the benefit of the insured or any other person. Additionally, in no event shall Atradius and its related, affiliated and subsidiary companies be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the statements made information herein.